jseabold/538model
538 Election Forecasting Model (⭐ 306)
538 Election Forecasting Model (⭐ 306)
The outbreak of COVID-19 disrupts the life of many people in the world. The state of Arizona in the U.S. emerges as one of the country's newest COVID-19 hot spots. Accurate forecasting for COVID-19 cases will help governments to implement necessary m...
The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of interannual global climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Recently, we have developed two approaches for the ear...
21 hours ago · Financial technology firm Chime forecast 2026 revenue above Wall Street estimates on Wednesday, helped by strong demand for its digital banking products and resilient consumer spending.
LLM MLB sports betting predictor/forecaster, powered by asknews (⭐ 8)
See the London Airport, ON extended weather forecast including feels like temperature, wind gust and chance of rain or snow from TheWeatherNetwork.com
Get London Airport, ON current weather report with temperature, feels like, wind, humidity, pressure, UV and more from TheWeatherNetwork.com.
Get London, ON current weather report with temperature, feels like, wind, humidity, pressure, UV and more from TheWeatherNetwork.com.
See the London, ON extended weather forecast including feels like temperature, wind gust and chance of rain or snow from TheWeatherNetwork.com
Gradually, the $Λ$CDM model starts to be challenged by observational data. Upcoming cosmological surveys will increase the number of detected galaxy clusters by several orders of magnitude. Therefore, shortly, clusters will provide tremendous constr...
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When agents' information is imperfect and dispersed, existing measures of macroeconomic uncertainty based on the forecast error variance have two distinct drivers: the variance of the economic shock and the variance of the information dispersion. The...
The prospect of finding love may be scary but the prospect of committing to a relationship for the rest of your life is almost certainly scary. The secretary problem is a parallel to romantic decision making where an individual decides when to be sat...
The transport sector is a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions in Europe. Shifting to electric vehicles (EVs) powered by a low-carbon energy mix would reduce carbon emissions. However, to support the development of electric mobility, a bette...
This paper demonstrates that aggregating crowdsourced forecasts benefits from modeling the written justifications provided by forecasters. Our experiments show that the majority and weighted vote baselines are competitive, and that the written justif...
Using the game-theoretic framework for probability, Vovk and Shafer. have shown that it is always possible, using randomization, to make sequential probability forecasts that pass any countable set of well-behaved statistical tests. This result gen...
The novel Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a severe respiratory infection that officially occurred in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. In late February, the disease began to spread quickly across the world, causing serious health, social, and economi...
In mid of March 2020, Coronaviruses such as COVID-19 is declared as an international epidemic. More than 125000 confirmed cases and 4,607 death cases have been recorded around more than 118 countries. Unfortunately, a coronavirus vaccine is expected...
We propose to smooth out the calibration score, which measures how good a forecaster is, by combining nearby forecasts. While regular calibration can be guaranteed only by randomized forecasting procedures, we show that smooth calibration can be guar...
Electrical grid congestion has emerged as an immense challenge in Europe, making the forecasting of load and its associated metrics increasingly crucial. Among these metrics, peak load is fundamental. Non-time-resolved models of peak load have their...