nickleenders.github.io• Aug 6, 2026• 1 min read
Show HN: Ranking weather models by how their forecasts turned outWeather apps all claim to be accurate but never show their work. So I built a scoreboard that checks: it takes the forecasts each model published (ECMWF, GFS, ICON, AIFS and others, plus Apple Weather, Foreca, OpenWeather and Visual Crossing), waits for the weather to happen, and scores temperature, wind and rain against observations.A few things that surprised me: - AIFS performs very well, yet almost no commercial apps give you access to it or uses it in their blend (I suspect some do without disclosing it tho) - Foreca scores surprisingly well compared to other apps and raw models - ICON is very accurate around the mediterranean, but performs quite poor everywhere elseThere's also a history page that scores each model back through its full archive (about 5 years for GFS) to see if forecasts have actually gotten better.It's a static page and open-source: https://github.com/NickLeenders/verisky-scoreboard. Public models are scored in your browser against Open-Meteo's archive. Commerci
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