As of Nov 9th, the state markets on predictit are still pricing in significant uncertainty. The following states have at least 5% implied odds of flipping from the current winner: Nevada (90% to Biden) …
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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform and aggregation engine working to improve human reasoning and coordination on topics of global importance.
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I feel that giving trump 50/50 odds of winning the 2024 presidential election is overly generous. Ever since Trump initially won in 2016, Republicans have failed to win at a national level. 2018 was...
If not how does it work. I see yang at 8c. So is it 1 dollar per bid if he wins?...
R Interface for the Predictit API (⭐ 4)
Market" (DCM) dedicated to event contracts. Unlike earlier platforms like PredictIt, which operated under restrictive "no-action" letters for academic purposes
generation of the internet." Manifold (prediction market) Kalshi Polymarket PredictIt Allison, Ian (March 15, 2016). "Ethereum-powered Augur brings its beta
[citation needed] The Wisdom of Crowds NewsFutures Intrade TradeSports PredictIt IEM Accuracy Compared to Polls Archived 2012-07-07 at the Wayback Machine
Metaculus is an online forecasting platform and aggregation engine working to improve human reasoning and coordination on topics of global importance.
PoC PredictIt auto trading bot on tweet count markets (⭐ 16)
python wrapper for the predictit API (⭐ 4)
unit of Sweepcash was equivalent to $1 USD. Polymarket Kalshi Metaculus PredictIt "Why a "room-temperature superconductor" would be a huge deal". Vox. 7
A simple MCP server that grabs prediction market data from polymarket, PredictIt, & Kalshi. (⭐ 32)
Compare PredictIt shares, betting odds, 538 models, Economist models, and polling in the 2020 U.S. Presidential election. (⭐ 16)
non-partisan technology consulting firm for political campaigns) and PredictIt (a New Zealand-based online prediction market that offers exchanges on
Trump's favor was a "larger swing than is justified." Polymarket competitor Predictit had since shown Trump with better odds of winning after previously favoring