The highest grossing media franchise of all times, with over \$90 billion in total revenue, is Pokemon. The video games belong to the class of Japanese Role Playing Games (J-RPG). Developing a powerful AI agent for these games is very hard because th...
Various frameworks have been proposed to predict mechanical system responses by combining data from different fidelities for design optimization and uncertainty quantification as reviewed by Fernández-Godino et al. and Peherstorfer et al.. Among all...
Place recognition is key to Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) and spatial perception. However, a place recognition in the wild often suffers from erroneous predictions due to image variations, e.g., changing viewpoints and street appearanc...
First Nations Australians have a cultural obligation to look after land and sea Country, and Indigenous-partnered science is beginning to drive socially inclusive initiatives in conservation. The Australian Institute of Marine Science has partnered w...
Clinical trials are a systematic endeavor to assess the safety and efficacy of new drugs or treatments. Conducting such trials typically demands significant financial investment and meticulous planning, highlighting the need for accurate predictions...
Bayesian model averaging is a practical method for dealing with uncertainty due to model specification. Use of this technique requires the estimation of model probability weights. In this work, we revisit the derivation of estimators for these model...
We present a data-driven approach for distributionally robust chance constrained optimization problems (DRCCPs). We consider the case where the decision maker has access to a finite number of samples or realizations of the uncertainty. The chance con...
Collaborative human-AI (HAI) teaming combines the unique skills and capabilities of humans and machines in sustained teaming interactions leveraging the strengths of each. In tasks involving regular exposure to novelty and uncertainty, collaboration...
Conformal prediction equips machine learning models with a reasonable notion of uncertainty quantification without making strong distributional assumptions. It wraps around any prediction model and converts point predictions into set predictions with...
Several easy to understand and computationally tractable imprecise probability models, like the Pari-Mutuel model, are derived from a given probability measure P_0. In this paper we investigate a family of such models, called Nearly-Linear (NL). They...
Fuzzy discrete event systems as a generalization of (crisp) discrete event systems have been introduced in order that it is possible to effectively represent uncertainty, imprecision, and vagueness arising from the dynamic of systems. A fuzzy discr...
In this work we investigate the min-max-min robust optimization problem and the k-adaptability robust optimization problem for binary problems with uncertain costs. The idea of the first approach is to calculate a set of k feasible solutions which ar...
Jan 16, 2011 · Why have a letter in a word when it’s silent in pronunciation, like the b in debt? Can anyone please clarify my uncertainty here?
Models trained on different datasets can be merged by a weighted-averaging of their parameters, but why does it work and when can it fail? Here, we connect the inaccuracy of weighted-averaging to mismatches in the gradients and propose a new uncertai...
Nov 28, 2025 · Hope is a practical, evidence-based strategy for navigating uncertainty, adversity, and everyday life. It’s a radical practice that keeps us well in a world that often isn’t. Across history,...
Jan 7, 2025 · Technological change, geoeconomic fragmentation, economic uncertainty, demographic shifts and the green transition – individually and in combination are among the major drivers …
In seismic exploration, first break (FB) picking is a crucial aspect in the determination of subsurface velocity models, significantly influencing the placement of wells. Many deep neural networks (DNNs)-based automatic picking methods have been prop...
A state-of-the-art distributed system using Reactive DDD as uncertainty modeling, Event Storming as subdomain decomposition, Event Sourcing as an eventual persistence mechanism, CQRS, Async Projections, Microservices for individual deployable units, Event-driven Architecture for…
This paper describes some results of research on associate systems: knowledge-based systems that flexibly and adaptively support their human users in carrying out complex, time-dependent problem-solving tasks under uncertainty. Based on principles d...
Process case studies on DEM uncertainty analysis at the Mont-Blanc massif and Northern Patagonian Icefield: Hugonnet et al. (2022). (⭐ 15)
Time awareness is critical to a broad range of emerging applications -- in Cyber-Physical Systems and Internet of Things -- running on commodity platforms and operating systems. Traditionally, time is synchronized across devices through a best-effort...
mechanics, and thermodynamics Thermal fluctuations, statistical fluctuations in a thermodynamic variable Quantum fluctuation, arising from the uncertainty principle
This paper investigates inland port infrastructure investment planning under uncertain commodity demand conditions. A two-stage stochastic optimization is developed to model the impact of demand uncertainty on infrastructure planning and transportati...
In this work, after given the definition of soft sets and their basic operations we define two person soft games which can apply to problems contain vagueness and uncertainty. We then give four solution methods of the games which are soft saddle poin...
In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that involve uncertainty. When people are unsure of their model of reality, then the outcome they observe will cause them to update their beliefs. We argue tha...
The purpose of this study is twofold -- first, to introduce the application of high-order discontinuous Galerkin methods to buoyancy-driven cargo hold fire simulations, second, to explore statistical variation in the fluid dynamics of a cargo hold fi...
Some common synonyms of positive are certain, cocksure, and sure. While all these words mean "having no doubt or uncertainty," positive intensifies sureness or certainty and may …
sure, certain, positive, cocksure mean having no doubt or uncertainty. sure usually stresses the subjective or intuitive feeling of assurance. certain may apply to a basing of a conclusion or …
Large penetration of renewable energy sources (RESs) brings huge uncertainty into the electricity markets. The current deterministic clearing approach in the day-ahead (DA) market, where RESs participate based on expected production, has been critici...
Feb 23, 2026 · “The key issue for markets is not just the tariff level itself, but the unpredictability surrounding what comes next,” Daniela Hathorn, senior market analyst at Capital.com, said in a note.
A conflict between rational and autonomous agents is considered. The paper addresses a differential game of protecting a target in the 3-D space. This problem highlights the strong correlation between the highly dynamic scenario, the uncertainty on t...
Codebase for reproducing the experiments of the semantic uncertainty paper (short-phrase and sentence-length experiments). (⭐ 407)
Experiments used in "Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learning" (⭐ 581)
Points: 448 | Comments: 98 | Author: samtheprogram
There have been proposals that primordial black hole remnants (BHRs) are the dark matter, but the idea is somewhat vague. We argue here first that the generalized uncertainty principle (GUP) may prevent black holes from evaporating completely, in a...
In Moral, Campos (1991) and Cano, Moral, Verdegay-Lopez (1991) a new method of conditioning convex sets of probabilities has been proposed. The result of it is a convex set of non-necessarily normalized probability distributions. The normalizing fa...
Executing even moderately large derivatives orders can be expensive and risky; it's hard to balance the uncertainty of working an order over time versus paying a liquidity premium for immediate execution. Here, we introduce the Time Is Money model, w...
Feynman's Lagrangian path integral was an outgrowth of Dirac's vague surmise that Lagrangians have a role in quantum mechanics. Lagrangians implicitly incorporate Hamilton's first equation of motion, so their use contravenes the uncertainty principle...
Jan 16, 2011 · Why have a letter in a word when it’s silent in pronunciation, like the b in debt? Can anyone please clarify my uncertainty here?
Visual Odometry (VO) estimation is an important source of information for vehicle state estimation and autonomous driving. Recently, deep learning based approaches have begun to appear in the literature. However, in the context of driving, single sen...