Ongoing (Albeit Secret) Campaign of Patent Extortion Against Linux Distributions
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Unifying models for X-ray selected and Radio selected BL Lac Objects
We discuss alternative interpretations of the differences in the Spectral Energy Distributions (SEDs) of BL Lacs found in complete Radio or X-ray surveys. A large body of observations in different bands suggests that the SEDs of BL Lac objects appe...
How To Armor Stats: A Guide (and Excel template) for Curating Your Vault
Since Armor 2.0's introduction, Guardians have been flooded with armor that has random distributions of numbers across the six character stats of Mobility, Resilience, Recovery, Discipline, Intellect,...
On the Hardness of Approximating Distributions with Tractable Probabilistic Models
A fundamental challenge in probabilistic modeling is to balance expressivity and inference efficiency. Tractable probabilistic models (TPMs) aim to directly address this tradeoff by imposing constraints that guarantee efficient inference of certain q...
Quantitative results for the Fleming-Viot Particle system and quasi-stationary distributio…
We show, for a class of discrete Fleming-Viot (or Moran) type particle systems, that the convergence to the equilibrium is exponential for a suitable Wassertein coupling distance. The approach provides an explicit quantitative estimate on the rate of...
gecrooks/fieldguide
Field Guide to Continuous Probability Distributions by Gavin E. Crooks (⭐ 27)
XVZ: iPath® S&P 500 Dynamic VIX ETN - MutualFunds.com
XVZ Mutual Fund Guide | Performance, Holdings, Expenses & Fees, Distributions and More
Conformal Predictive Distributions for Order Fulfillment Time Forecasting
Accurate estimation of order fulfillment time is critical for e-commerce logistics, yet traditional rule-based approaches often fail to capture the inherent uncertainties in delivery operations. This paper introduces a novel framework for distributio...
MOCABA: a general Monte Carlo-Bayes procedure for improved predictions of integral functio…
MOCABA is a combination of Monte Carlo sampling and Bayesian updating algorithms for the prediction of integral functions of nuclear data, such as reactor power distributions or neutron multiplication factors. Similarly to the established Generalized...
Endemic-epidemic models with discrete-time serial interval distributions for infectious di…
Multivariate count time series models are an important tool for the analysis and prediction of infectious disease spread. We consider the endemic-epidemic framework, an autoregressive model class for infectious disease surveillance counts, and replac...
Explorations of Self-Repair in Language Models
Prior interpretability research studying narrow distributions has preliminarily identified self-repair, a phenomena where if components in large language models are ablated, later components will change their behavior to compensate. Our work builds o...
XVZ: iPath® S&P 500 Dynamic VIX ETN - MutualFunds.com
XVZ Mutual Fund Guide | Performance, Holdings, Expenses & Fees, Distributions and More
Reconciling observations of solar irradiance variability with cloud size distributions
Clouds cast shadows on the surface and locally enhance solar irradiance by absorbing and scattering sunlight, resulting in fast and large solar irradiance fluctuations on the surface. Typical spatiotemporal scales and driving mechanisms of this intra...
Data-dependent Posterior Propriety of Bayesian Beta-Binomial-Logit Model
A Beta-Binomial-Logit model is a Beta-Binomial model with covariate information incorporated via a logistic regression. Posterior propriety of a Bayesian Beta-Binomial-Logit model can be data-dependent for improper hyper-prior distributions. Various...
A discrete analogue of Terrell's characterization of rectangular distributions
George R. Terrell (1983, {Ann. Probab., vol. 11(3), pp. 823--826) showed that the Pearson coefficient of correlation of an ordered pair from a random sample of size two is at most one-half, and the equality is attained only for rectangular (uniform o...
UVBLUE: a new high-resolution theoretical library of ultraviolet stellar spectra
We present an extended ultraviolet-blue (850-4700 AA) library of theoretical stellar spectral energy distributions (SEDs) computed at high resolution, R= 50,000. The UVBLUE grid, as we named the library, is based on LTE calculations carried out wit...
The AIDA-TNG project: gas distributions inside and around haloes
The nature of Dark Matter (DM) is one of the most outstanding mysteries of modern astrophysics. While the standard Cold DM (CDM) model successfully explains observations on most astrophysical scales, DM particles have not yet been detected, leaving r...
XVZ: iPath® S&P 500 Dynamic VIX ETN - MutualFunds.com
XVZ Mutual Fund Guide | Performance, Holdings, Expenses & Fees, Distributions and More
Accuracy Is (Generically) Bad For Compliance
We demonstrate that the set of cost distributions under which the optimal strategy for maximizing compliance (or more generally, effort) in a binary choice environment is identical to the optimal strategy for maximizing the accuracy of the reward (mi...
Probability and Angelic Nondeterminism with Multiset Semantics
We introduce a version of probabilistic Kleene algebra with angelic nondeterminism and a corresponding class of automata. Our approach implements semantics via distributions over multisets in order to overcome theoretical barriers arising from the la...