Existing methods typically address either aleatoric uncertainty due to measurement noise or epistemic uncertainty resulting from limited data, but not both in a balanced manner. We propose CLEAR, a calibration method with two distinct parameters, $γ...
This article reports on a Research through Design study exploring how to design a tool for helping readers of science journalism understand the strength and uncertainty of scientific evidence in news stories about health science, using both textual a...
This work successfully generates an uncertainty-aware surrogate model of the EuroPED plasma pedestal model using the Bayesian neural network with noise contrastive prior (BNN-NCP) technique. This model is trained using data from the JET-ILW pedestal...
This paper explores electricity planning strategies in South Sudan under future conflict uncertainty. A stochastic energy system optimization model that explicitly considers the possibility of armed conflict leading to electric power generator damage...
This article described three heuristics that are employed in making judgements under uncertainty: (i) representativeness, which is usually employed when people are asked to judge the probability that an object or event A belongs to class or process B; (ii) availability of instanc…
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For thousands of passengers and crew, routine leisure sailings through Gulf and Red Sea ports have become uncertain waiting games, as ships alter routes, delay departures or remain docked amid security concerns.
Anyone watching the stock market’s response to world events this week may be feeling a little uncertain about their investments.
China set its lowest economic growth target in decades on Thursday, announcing it would aim for 4.5-5% expansion in 2026 as the world’s second-largest economy grapples with weak domestic demand and an uncertain global outlook.
Economic uncertainty tied to President Donald Trump’s signature trade policies has led many small businesses to lay off workers, delay expansion plans or scale back production.
Polling of the Iran war is still a confusing picture, but at least for now, pessimism and uncertainty about the benefits still seem to be the prevailing takeaway.
Feb 5, 2026 · Meeting together helps reconcile the limbo and calls it good! Feeling uncertain about the way forward is okay. But being in limbo doesn’t mean you have to be alone. By Lucretia Berry from …
courage in Wiktionary, the free dictionary. Courage is the ability to confront fear in the face of pain, danger, uncertainty or intimidation. Courage
Over the last quarter-century, spacecraft conjunction assessment has focused on a quantity associated by its advocates with collision probability. This quantity has a well-known dilution feature, where it is small when uncertainty is large, giving ri...
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Water utilities aim to reduce the high electrical costs of Water Distribution Networks (WDNs), primarily driven by pumping. However, pump scheduling is challenging due to model uncertainties and water demand forecast errors. This paper presents a Rob...
Jun 3, 2025 · A team of MIT researchers founded Themis AI to quantify artificial intelligence model uncertainty and address knowledge gaps.
Aug 17, 2014 · @Reb, =delete makes the method inaccessible even from contexts that can see private methods (i.e. within the class and its friends). This removes any uncertainty when you're reading the …
The status of core collapse supernoova progenitor models is reviewed with a focus on some of the current uncertainties arising from the difficulties of modeling important macrophysics and microphysics. In particular, I look at issues concerned with...
Jan 14, 2026 · As the world faces uncertainty, geoeconomic confrontation is the main short-term risk, while environmental issues shape the long-term outlook, experts say.